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Innovation Pharmaceuticals Inc. (IPIX)·Q1 2017 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Development-stage quarter with no revenue and a net loss of $3.03M ($0.02 per share), broadly consistent with prior-year loss per share and driven by higher R&D spend supporting four mid-stage trials .
  • Cash was $5.56M at quarter-end; management highlighted access to additional equity funding via Aspire Capital and projected ~$19M of next-12-month spend (incl. ~$15M for clinical trials), asserting liquidity sufficiency for 12 months .
  • Clinical execution advanced: Phase 2b Prurisol (psoriasis) enrollment underway; Brilacidin Phase 2 OM interim analysis targeted 1H 2017; Brilacidin UP/UPS Phase 2a showed early clinical improvements; Kevetrin Phase 2a prepared to demonstrate p53 modulation .
  • Street consensus EPS/revenue estimates via S&P Global were unavailable for IPIX; as a micro-cap biotech without product revenue, stock reaction hinges on trial readouts and partnering signals rather than quarterly financials [SpgiEstimatesError].

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Management expanded clinical leadership and moved multiple assets forward concurrently, noting “we have yet to fail in any clinical trial with any of our drug candidates” .
  • Brilacidin UP/UPS Phase 2a interim data showed clinically meaningful symptom improvements with undetectable plasma levels, supporting localized efficacy and favorable safety profile .
  • Clear near-term milestones were articulated (OM interim 1H 2017; Prurisol 2b interim 1H 2017), positioning for partnership discussions and potential catalysts .

What Went Wrong

  • Ongoing operating losses widened YoY in dollar terms due to increased R&D and stock-based comp, though loss per share remained $0.02; no revenue to offset burn .
  • Working capital deficit increased to ~$2.6M at quarter-end, underscoring continued reliance on external capital (Aspire) and dilution risk if partnerships delay .
  • Formal Q1 earnings call transcript was not available; investor communications were through press releases and a planned video Q&A, limiting granular call disclosures .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 FY2016 (Sep 30, 2015)Q4 FY2016 (Jun 30, 2016)Q1 FY2017 (Sep 30, 2016)Q2 FY2017 (Dec 31, 2016)
Revenue ($USD)$0 N/A$0 N/A
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(2.58) N/A$(3.03) $(3.36)
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.02) N/A$(0.02) $(0.03)
R&D Expense ($USD Millions)$1.83 N/A$2.28 N/A
G&A Expense ($USD Millions)$0.34 N/A$0.36 N/A
Cash and Equivalents ($USD Millions)N/A$6.31 $5.56 $3.90
Working Capital (Deficit) ($USD Millions)$(1.90) (Jun 30, 2016) $(1.90) $(2.60) (Sep 30, 2016) N/A

Notes: N/A denotes not disclosed in available filings for that specific quarter.

Segment breakdown: Not applicable (no revenue segments) .

KPIs

KPIQ1 FY2016Q1 FY2017
Ongoing mid-stage trials (#)3 (Brilacidin OM, ABSSSI complete; Prurisol planning; Kevetrin planning) 4 (Brilacidin OM, Brilacidin UP/UPS, Prurisol 2b, Kevetrin 2a)
Aspire Capital remaining ($USD Millions)~$20 (as of Sep 30, 2016) ~$20 (as of Sep 30, 2016)

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Operating cash needsNext 12 months from Sep 30, 2016Not previously quantified~$19M total spend, incl. ~$15M clinical trials New explicit budget
Liquidity sufficiencyNext 12 months from Sep 30, 2016N/AManagement believes Aspire and shelf registration sufficient to fund 12 months New assertion
Brilacidin OM1H 2017Interim analysis 1H 2017 Reaffirmed; completion expected by year-end Maintained timeline
Prurisol 2b1H 2017Interim analysis 1H 2017 Reaffirmed Maintained timeline
Brilacidin UP/UPS1H 2017Complete Phase 2a in 1H 2017 Interim/ongoing with encouraging cohort results Progressing on plan
Kevetrin 2a (ovarian)Q4 2016 startInitiate 4Q 2016 Prepared/commenced by Feb 2017 update Slight delay to early 2017

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 FY2016 business update)Prior Quarter (Q1 FY2017 press release)Current Period (Q1 FY2017)Trend
Partnerships focusTarget partnering post mid-phase data; under CDAs Increased high-level meetings; partnership focus reiterated Strategy maintained Consistent, building toward data-driven deals
Brilacidin OMInterim 1H 2017; aim for prevention standard Trial ongoing; interim 1H 2017 Timeline reaffirmed On track
Brilacidin UP/UPSInterim analysis 4Q 2016; complete 1H 2017 Initial cohort improvements; localized exposure Continued positive interim observations Strengthening clinical signal
Prurisol 2bInitiation 4Q 2016; interim 1H 2017 Enrollment underway; PASI endpoint; interim 1H 2017 Reaffirmed Execution progressing
Kevetrin (p53)Prepare 2a; oral formulation R&D Preparing 2a; oral formulation work Commenced 2a by Feb release Moving into proof-of-mechanism

Management Commentary

  • “It was a great quarter... we demonstrated limited systemic risk in localized Brilacidin therapy... advancements have been made for an oral formulation of Kevetrin; and we are progressing in our clinical trials... we have yet to fail in any clinical trial” .
  • On Prurisol: “Phase 2b underway... the potential safety profile... may make this an attractive alternative to Celgene’s OTEZLA” .
  • On Brilacidin OM: goal is to show dual functionality “not only shortening the duration and intensity... but also preventing the onset” where no approved preventative exists .

Q&A Highlights

  • A formal Q1 FY2017 earnings call transcript was not available in our document catalog; management scheduled a video presentation and Q&A release on Nov 15, 2016 (investor relations link), but transcript content is not captured here .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus EPS and revenue estimates via S&P Global were unavailable for IPIX in this period due to missing CIQ mapping. As a pre-revenue micro-cap biotech, quarterly EPS comparisons to consensus are typically less meaningful; investor expectations are driven by clinical timelines and partnering [SpgiEstimatesError].

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term catalysts across four mid-stage programs (Prurisol 2b interim; Brilacidin OM interim and UP/UPS completion; Kevetrin 2a mechanistic readouts) can be stock-moving without revenue dependency .
  • Cash burn is increasing with expanded trials; while Aspire provides runway, partnership timing is critical to mitigate dilution and fund Phase 3 transitions .
  • Brilacidin’s localized efficacy signals (undetectable systemic exposure with clinical improvement) strengthen its profile in both GI and OM indications, enhancing partnering appeal .
  • Prurisol’s oral route positions it favorably versus injectables, with management explicitly targeting Otezla-like market opportunities pending efficacy in moderate-to-severe patients .
  • Investors should focus on data quality and regulatory interactions (e.g., potential breakthrough/fast track pathways for OM), which can accelerate timelines and rerate valuation .
  • Absence of Street estimates means price action will be headline-driven; plan for binary outcomes around interim analyses and maintain risk management accordingly [SpgiEstimatesError].
  • Monitor liquidity updates (cash, Aspire utilization) and working capital trends each quarter to gauge financing cadence ahead of pivotal studies .